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In Downing Street, they love Barack Obama. The Prime Minister and his Chancellor see the re-election of the US President as pointing the way to Tory triumph at the next UK general election because it supposedly vindicates their own modernising approach. It suggests incumbents can win, even when they haven't done a great job. A stuttering economic recovery seems to be no barrier to election success.

Yes He Cam: The Prime Minister’s prospects are better than many think 

Indeed, in the hours after the US result became clear, the Prime Minister was desperate to associate himself with the man who had given him renewed hope. He made sure he won the race to be the first leader to congratulate Obama, tweeting his tribute early on November 7. Rather demeaningly, No 10 later issued a picture of the Prime Minister purportedly on the telephone to the President. There is no way of knowing whether it really was Obama on the other end of the line, or whether Cameron was on hold. Perhaps he was just leaving a message on the answerphone in the Oval Office. Or maybe he was attempting to emulate his hero, Harold Macmillan, who reveled in his personal special relationship with the glamorous John F. Kennedy.  

Days after the Cameron call, George Osborne, billed by his lately somewhat shrunken fan club as the master strategist, took the Obama worship a step farther. Breaking off from concentrating "110 per cent" on the economy, he wrote a piece for The Times on what he made of the President's victory. The resulting column was Osborne in a nutshell. The Chancellor is obsessively tactical—bright in a metropolitan way, trend-obsessed and an obvious lover of US electoral geekery and West Wing wonkery. However, when writing such pieces he does tend to give himself away. There were the obligatory and worryingly long sections on opinion polling and a part where he appeared to suggest that Obama only really got back on track when he adopted an Osborne-ite message: "Beginning the long, hard road to recovery." Apparently the similarity and resonance of what Obama and Cameron are both saying is "striking".

It is dangerous to read too much into American elections from a British perspective. The UK and the US are different, and the idea that from the 1960s until the end of the Blair era we were somehow on similar cycles has not applied for many a year. Blair's cooperation with the Republican George W. Bush was closer, and more eventful, than his partnership with the Democrat Bill Clinton. The Conservative Cameron didn't want the Republican Mitt Romney to win.

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Anonymous English Fighter
March 7th, 2013
2:03 PM
I couldn't agree more with the previous comment. The only hope for the Conservatives in 2015 is the adoption of some radical conservative policies and an alliance with UKIP, neither of which will happen all the while The Heir to Blair is at the helm. This Left-leaning Trojan horse has to go. The stakes could not be higher. This is the last chance The Right has of gaining power in this country. The demographic transformation of the UK alone will be enough to ensure no more governments of The Right and the total collapse of the country both economically and socially. Yet still the Conservatives under Cameron tinker and delay and insult their grass roots supporters. True conservatives are turning to UKIP in their droves. It is Farage who speaks for them - not Cameron. If the Conservative Party does not wake up and end it's desperate appeal to The Left and tackle issues like the EU, immigration and crime head on then we are in for terrible times ahead.

Anonymous Chrysostom
December 10th, 2012
10:12 AM
I live in the North of England and I can tell you that the soi-disant Tories haven't a snowball in hell's chance of winning the next election if they carry on as they are. However, I have a surprising suggestion: why don't they adopt some Tory measures, then they will win? e.g. Drop the idea of changing marriage to please the 3% of the population who are homosexual; have the promised referendum on the EC (or is it EU?); have an immediate clamp-down on immigration; bring law and order to the streets and punish those who commit crimes; as for aid for overseas, simple - leave it up to each individual to decide how much he or she wants to send (there could be a space on the income tax form) rather than our corrupt politicians giving our money to corrupt politicians overseas. Such policies would win a landslide win for the Tories, except that Labour would be forced to copy them to avoid being decimated.

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